Time for my Covid-19 review for 3/27/2020, my main point is still to not panic.

Yes, you could get sick, and it could suck. My numbers that I’m going off of are only confirmed cases for any of these, including the seasonal influenza. My argument is that while this Covid-19 is new to humans, the seasonal flu is still more fatal. My argument is also that many people will get seasonal influenza and/or this Covid-19 and never know it, never get reported and added to the numbers. Per the numbers below, you are more likely to die if you get seasonal influenza than you are if you get Covid-19. Yes, a lot of people COULD end up getting Covid-19, which would mean the total number of deaths COULD be extremely high, but again, you are more likely to die if you get seasonal influenza. There are also a lot of other things to consider, when did this actually start? How many people that got “the flu” in December, January, February, and March actually had Covid-19? Read through this link, he cites at least one expert. Just something to keep in mind as we evaluate what’s going on.
https://www.amgreatness.com/2020/03/19/dangerous-curves/

Now for the numbers: there are over 242,330 cases of seasonal influenza since 9/29/2019 in the US with approximately 17,932 deaths from the seasonal flu. This does not count Covid-19, which did not show up on the standard flu test. There are several reasons, IMO, that this is important: Out of the 1,208,294 people that went to the Dr. and were tested since September 29th for “flu like symptoms”, ONLY 20.1% of them actually tested positive for the flu. How many of those cases were actually Covid-19? See above. As I said previously, I know someone that I’m now convinced actually had Covid-19 in January/February. Their symptoms matched what is now known about the new flu and it was not being tested for every time a person went to the Dr. for it in January or February (and it’s still not being tested for unless they need to be hospitalized for their symptoms). With all of this in mind, I’m just as concerned about seasonal influenza as I am about Covid-19, which is as concerned as I am about it every year.
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/index.htm

As of today, The P&I Mortality rate for the 2019-2020 Flu season is 7.4%. This is from the CDC. They only update this page once weekly, this number is for week ending 3/21/2020.
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/

With 462,684 total cases and 20,834 total deaths, the Covid-19 Mortality rate Globally is 4.50%. This is from the WHO as of 3/26/2020, 10:00 CET.
https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200326-sitrep-66-covid-19.pdf

With 575,009 total cases and 26,369 total deaths, the Covid-19 Mortality rate Globally is 4.58%. This is from the “worldometer” as of 3/27/2020, 17:17 GMT.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

With 85,356 total cases and 1,246 total deaths, the Covid-19 Mortality rate in the US is 1.45%. This is from the CDC as of 3/27/2020, 16:00 EST.
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html

With 93,440 total cases and 1,385 total deaths, the Covid-19 Mortality rate in the US is 1.48%. This is from the “worldometer” as of 3/27/2020, 17:18 GMT.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

With 456 total cases and 9 total deaths, the Covid-19 Mortality rate in South Carolina is 1.97%. This is from SC DHEC as of 3/27/2020, 12:41 EST.
https://scdhec.gov/infectious-diseases/viruses/coronavirus-disease-2019-covid-19/monitoring-testing-covid-19

Take precautions, wash your hands, sanitize stuff, avoid close contact and large groups of people, put away supplies to survive at least a month at home, but for Heaven’s sake, DON’T PANIC!!!
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/prepare/prevention.html

Odds of survival are pretty good if you just practice good hygiene and you don’t have pre-existing conditions that make your odds worse… so DON’T PANIC!!
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/specific-groups/high-risk-complications.html

I realize that bad shit is happening in places because of this virus, so we have to do our part to not overload the services available. If you think you may have the flu, or Covid-19, check the symptoms (https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/symptoms-testing/symptoms.html) and give your Dr. a call before you run to the ER and possibly infect others (or hell, you may not have been infected but you could get infected by running to the ER where the sick people are, use that mushy stuff in your head to make decisions).

DON’T PANIC!!! Yes, the flu sucks, but as of right now your odds of making it through this virus are better than they are for the regular seasonal influenza.

A little more to clarify my position. I work from home, I’m pretty isolated all the time, so this quarantine doesn’t really affect me. Having said that, I think that doing the quarantine and then restricting business hours is actually creating a bit more of a hazard. Rather than people trying to spread out their shopping trips throughout the day, they are forced to be in the stores at the same times as everyone else. People should have supplies, but store visits are still required for the vast majority of the population. I’m not saying we shouldn’t take precautions, but I personally think we’ve gone a little too far… then again, we’ll never really know if we went too far, but we will definitely know if we didn’t go far enough (stole that from someone else). But still, DON’T PANIC!

Time for my Covid-19 review for 3/24/2020, my main point is still to not panic.

Yes, you could get sick, and it could suck. My numbers that I’m going off of are only confirmed cases for any of these, including the seasonal influenza. My argument is that while this Covid-19 is new to humans, the seasonal flu is still more fatal. My argument is also that many people will get seasonal influenza and/or this Covid-19 and never know it, never get reported and added to the numbers. Per the numbers below, you are more likely to die if you get seasonal influenza than you are if you get Covid-19. Yes, a lot of people COULD end up getting Covid-19, which would mean the total number of deaths COULD be extremely high, but again, you are more likely to die if you get seasonal influenza.

Now for the numbers: there are over 231,654 cases of seasonal influenza since 9/29/2019 in the US. This does not count Covid-19, which did not show up on the standard flu test. There are several reasons, IMO, that this is important. Out of the 1,130,489 people that went to the Dr. and were tested since September 29th for “flu like symptoms”, ONLY 20.5% of them actually tested positive for the flu. How many of those cases were actually Covid-19? Just because it was first identified in China on 12/1/2019 does not mean it was not active and spreading for a few months before that. It had to have been spreading enough to make them develop a separate test to identify what it was. The Dr examining the “first” patient did not just go, “Oh, this is new, let me identify it”. As I said previously, I know someone that I’m now convinced actually had Covid-19 in January/February. Their symptoms matched what is now known about the new flu and it was not being tested for every time a person went to the Dr. for it in January or February (and it’s still not being tested for unless they need to be hospitalized for their symptoms). There are also a couple weeks in this years flu season where the number of new cases confirmed was over 20,000. With all of this in mind, I’m just as concerned about seasonal influenza as I am about Covid-19, which is as concerned as I am about it every year.
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/index.htm

As of today, The P&I Mortality rate for the 2019-2020 Flu season is 7.1%. This is from the CDC. They only update this page once weekly, this number is for week ending 3/14/2020.
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/

With 332,930 total cases and 14,510 total deaths, the Covid-19 Mortality rate Globally is 4.35%. This is from the WHO as of 3/23/2020, 10:00 CET.
https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200318-sitrep-58-covid-19.pdf

With 395,564 total cases and 17,234 total deaths, the Covid-19 Mortality rate Globally is 4.35%. This is from the “worldometer” as of 3/24/2020, 13:40 GMT.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

With 33,404 total cases and 400 total deaths, the Covid-19 Mortality rate in the US is 1.19%. This is from the CDC as of 3/23/2020, 16:00 EST.
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html

With 46,168 total cases and 582 total deaths, the Covid-19 Mortality rate in the US is 1.26%. This is from the “worldometer” as of 3/24/2020, 13:41 GMT.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

With 298 total cases and 5 total deaths, the Covid-19 Mortality rate in South Carolina is 1.68%. This is from SC DHEC as of 3/23/2020, 17:18 EST.
https://scdhec.gov/infectious-diseases/viruses/coronavirus-disease-2019-covid-19/monitoring-testing-covid-19

Take precautions, wash your hands, sanitize stuff, avoid close contact and large groups of people, put away supplies to survive at least a month at home, but for Heaven’s sake, DON’T PANIC!!!
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/prepare/prevention.html

Odds of survival are pretty good if you just practice good hygiene and you don’t have pre-existing conditions that make your odds worse… so DON’T PANIC!!
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/specific-groups/high-risk-complications.html

I realize that bad shit is happening in places because of this virus, so we have to do our part to not overload the medical services available. If you think you may have the flu, or Covid-19, check the symptoms (https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/symptoms-testing/symptoms.html) and give your Dr. a call before you run to the ER and possibly infect others (or hell, you may not have been infected but you could get infected by running to the ER where the sick people are, use that mushy stuff in your head to make decisions).

DON’T PANIC!!! Yes, the flu sucks, but as of right now your odds of making it through this virus are better than they are for the regular seasonal influenza.

Time for my Covid-19 review for 3/19/2020, my main point is still to not panic…

As of today, The P&I Mortality rate for the 2019-2020 Flu season is 7.1%. This is from the CDC. They apparently only update this page once weekly, so this doesn’t change from my post earlier in the week, this number is for week ending 3/7/2020.
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/

With 191,127 total cases and 7,807 total deaths, the Covid-19 Mortality rate Globally is 4.08%. This is from the WHO as of 3/18/2020.
https://www.who.int/…/situ…/20200318-sitrep-58-covid-19.pdf…

With 10,442 total cases and 150 total deaths, the Covid-19 Mortality rate in the US is 1.43%. This is from the CDC as of 3/19/2020.
https://www.cdc.gov/…/2019-n…/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html

With 81 total cases and 1 total deaths, the Covid-19 Mortality rate in South Carolina is 1.23%. This is from SC DHEC as of 3/19/2020.
https://scdhec.gov/monitoring-testing-covid-19

Take precautions, wash your hands, sanitize stuff, avoid close contact and large groups of people, put away supplies to survive at least a month at home, but for Heaven’s sake, DON’T PANIC!!!
https://www.cdc.gov/coron…/2019-ncov/prepare/prevention.html

Odds of survival are pretty good if you just practice good hygiene and you don’t have pre-existing conditions that make your odds worse… so DON’T PANIC!!
https://www.cdc.gov/…/specific…/high-risk-complications.html

I realize that bad shit is happening in Italy (and other places) because of this virus, so we also have to do our part to not overload the medical services available. If you think you may have the flu, or Covid-19, check the symptoms (https://www.cdc.gov/…/2019-n…/symptoms-testing/symptoms.html) and give your Dr. a call before you run to the ER and possibly infect others (or hell, you may not have been infected but you could get infected by running to the ER where the sick people are, use that mushy stuff in your head to make decisions).

DON’T PANIC!!!
Yes, the flu sucks, but as of right now your odds of making it through this virus are better than they are for the regular seasonal influenza.

I also heard something somewhere that has me thinking, even though I haven’t found it anywhere officially. I’d like to see this subject reviewed and confirmed/denied by the CDC and/or the WHO, but…
If you had a severe cough and/or mild fever back in late December, January, or February, there is a remote possibility that you actually had Covid-19. Just because it was first identified in China in mid December doesn’t mean it didn’t spread from there before it was identified. Remember, they’re saying the incubation period of this is 7-28 days at this point. If you traveled for the holidays, there’s a very real chance you were exposed before it was identified as a pandemic.

I personally know at least one person that had flu like symptoms for about 3 days and a severe cough for a few weeks in January/February. They went to the Dr and got tested and it wasn’t identified as any known flu or pneumonia so the Dr put them on prednisone for their cough and it cleared up. This person traveled to a large city for New Years and the illness showed the symptoms about the 3rd week of January. The person I’m thinking of is just fine now and everyone else in their household is fine and never developed any symptoms (that they noticed). Could this have been Covid-19?

Here’s a post with screenshots from the CDC. While I’m not a doctor and I’m no longer an active EMT-B, I’ve done some research in the past, and my point is simply DON’T PANIC!!! and here’s why.

As of today, The P&I Mortality rate for the 2019-2020 Flu season is 7.1% (this is only confirmed cases, this does not factor in all of the people that get the flu and just stay home, like me). If I read the info correctly, Covid-19 is not included in this statistic.
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/

The Covid-19 Mortality rate in the US is 1.95% (these are numbers only for verified cases and there is currently no projection listed on their site… or I didn’t find it).
https://www.cdc.gov/…/2019-…/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html…

Take precautions, wash your hands, sanitize stuff, avoid close contact and large groups of people, put away supplies to survive at least a month at home, but for Heaven’s sake, DON’T PANIC!!! You should wash your hands and clean up regularly anyway… If you’re one of those people that doesn’t wash your hands when you leave the restroom, stay away from me, because if I see you do it anytime, not just during a pandemic, I’m going to confront you about it you disgusting jackass.
https://www.cdc.gov/coron…/2019-ncov/prepare/prevention.html

Odds of survival are actually pretty good if you just practice good hygiene and you don’t have pre-existing conditions that make your odds worse… older adults with risk increasing with age, heart disease, diabetes, lung disease. If you are at higher risk, take the precautions, but DON’T PANIC.
https://www.cdc.gov/…/specific…/high-risk-complications.html

I realize that bad shit is happening in Italy (and other places) because of this virus, so we also have to do our part to not overload the medical services available. If you think you may have the flu, or Covid-19, check the symptoms (https://www.cdc.gov/…/2019-n…/symptoms-testing/symptoms.html) and give your Dr. a call before you run to the ER and possibly infect others (or hell, you may not have been infected but you could get infected by running to the ER where the sick people are, use that mushy stuff in your head to make decisions).

Personally, I think everyone should always have at least a 30 day supply of stuff to survive at home on “lock-down” for everyone in their household because you never know when bad shit is going to happen (job loss, serious injury, natural disaster, global pandemic). I know it’s not exactly easy for everyone to just run out and buy an extra month of supplies, but it’s really not that hard to build up to either. Buy one extra item every time you go to the store, whether it’s a box of pasta or a roll of toilet paper. Switch it up, but buy one extra item on every trip and before you know it you’ll have supplies for a month. That’s how I did it before I made the money I make now (but why stop at just one month? Maybe it’ll take you 6 months to find another job, I don’t know about you, but I still like to eat whether I’m working or not.)