My take on Covid-19, 3/30/2020

Time for my Covid-19 review for 3/27/2020. I’m not going to write all the extra shit this time because I’m apparently not allowed to have a different opinion than the “experts”… even though more and more experts are starting to say what I’ve been thinking/saying for weeks.

My numbers that I’m going off of are only confirmed cases for any of these, including the seasonal influenza. My argument is that while this Covid-19 is new to humans, the seasonal flu is still more fatal. My argument is also that many people will get seasonal influenza and/or this Covid-19 and never know it, never get reported and added to the numbers. Per the numbers below, you are more likely to die if you get seasonal influenza than you are if you get Covid-19.

There are a lot of things to consider: when did this actually start? How many people that got “the flu” in December, January, February, and March actually had Covid-19? Read through this link, he cites at least one expert. Just something to keep in mind as we evaluate what’s going on.
https://www.amgreatness.com/2020/03/19/dangerous-curves/

Now for the numbers: there are over 242,330 cases of seasonal influenza since 9/29/2019 in the US with approximately 17,932 deaths from the seasonal flu. This does not count Covid-19, which did not show up on the standard flu test. There are several reasons, IMO, that this is important: Out of the 1,208,294 people that went to the Dr. and were tested since September 29th for “flu like symptoms”, ONLY 20.1% of them actually tested positive for the flu. How many of those cases were actually Covid-19?
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/index.htm

As of today, The P&I Mortality rate for the 2019-2020 Flu season is 7.4%. This is from the CDC. They only update this page once weekly, this number is for week ending 3/21/2020.
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/

With 693,224 total cases and 33,106 total deaths, the Covid-19 Mortality rate Globally is 4.78%. This is from the WHO as of 3/30/2020, 10:00 CET.
https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200330-sitrep-70-covid-19.pdf

With 776,105 total cases and 37,126 total deaths, the Covid-19 Mortality rate Globally is 4.78%. This is from the “worldometer” as of 3/30/2020, 21:02 GMT.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

With 140,904 total cases and 2,405 total deaths, the Covid-19 Mortality rate in the US is 1.71%. This is from the CDC as of 3/30/2020, 16:00 EST.
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html

With 159,689 total cases and 2,951 total deaths, the Covid-19 Mortality rate in the US is 1.84%. This is from the “worldometer” as of 3/30/2020, 21:02 GMT.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

With 925 total cases and 18 total deaths, the Covid-19 Mortality rate in South Carolina is 1.95%. This is from SC DHEC as of 3/30/2020, 16:00 EST.
https://scdhec.gov/infectious-diseases/viruses/coronavirus-disease-2019-covid-19/monitoring-testing-covid-19

Take precautions, wash your hands, sanitize stuff, avoid close contact and large groups of people, put away supplies to survive at least a month at home, but don’t be stupid.
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/prepare/prevention.html

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Odds of survival are good if you just practice good hygiene and you don’t have pre-existing conditions that make your odds worse.
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/specific-groups/high-risk-complications.html

I realize that bad shit is happening in places because of this virus, so we have to do our part to not overload the services available. If you think you may have the flu, or Covid-19, check the symptoms (https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/symptoms-testing/symptoms.html) and give your Dr. a call before you run to the ER and possibly infect others.

Yes, the flu sucks, but as of right now your odds of making it through this virus are better than they are for the regular seasonal influenza.

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/index.htm
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/
https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200330-sitrep-70-covid-19.pdf
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
https://scdhec.gov/infectious-diseases/viruses/coronavirus-disease-2019-covid-19/monitoring-testing-covid-19

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