Time for my Covid-19 review for 4/21/2020.

There’s a lot of stuff coming out now that is really throwing the numbers… CDC is recording every death that is even remotely related to Covid-19 as a Covid-19 death, even if the virus is not the cause of death (comorbidity). I’m done listing links that show this, do your own research. At this point I’m just tracking the numbers.

My primary issues with this pandemic are: 1) People are stupid. Mention of a pandemic and you can’t find toilet paper or cleaning supplies anywhere for several weeks/months… did those people not wipe their ass or clean their stuff prior? 2) The government has absolutely ZERO authority to “lock down” the country. They can recommend, even strongly urge, people to stay home, but they cannot legally force any American to do it, period.

My numbers that I’m going off of are only confirmed cases, including for seasonal influenza. My argument is that while Covid-19 is new to humans, the seasonal flu is still more fatal. My argument is also that many people will get seasonal influenza and/or Covid-19 and never know it, never get reported, and never get added to the numbers. Per the confirmed numbers below, you are more likely to die if you get seasonal influenza than you are if you get Covid-19.

Now for the numbers:

As of April 11, 2020 there were over 247,959 cases of seasonal influenza since 9/29/2019 in the US with a P&I Mortality rate of 11.9%, meaning approximately 29,507 deaths from the seasonal flu. This does not count Covid-19, which does not show up on the standard flu test (if you scroll through the link, you’ll see what types of virus they identify and include in these numbers). There are several reasons, IMO, that this is important: Out of the 1,328,244 people that went to the Dr. and were tested since September 29th for “flu like symptoms”, ONLY 18.7% of them actually tested positive for the flu. How many of those other 81.3% of cases were actually Covid-19?
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/index.htm

With 2,314,621 total cases and 157,847 total deaths, the Covid-19 Mortality rate Globally is 6.82%. This is from the WHO as of 4/20/2020, 10:00 CET.
https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200420-sitrep-91-covid-19.pdf

With 2,529,094 total cases and 174,573 total deaths, the Covid-19 Mortality rate Globally is 6.90%. This is from the “worldometer” as of 4/21/2020, 17:03 GMT.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

With 746,625 total cases and 39,083 total deaths, the Covid-19 Mortality rate in the US is 5.23%. This is from the CDC as of 4/20/2020, 16:00 EST. Keep in mind, they are now including any death even remotely connected, even if the virus was not related to the actual death. Again, do your research for stories about this. Hell, I just saw one article that said NYC added 4,000 deaths to the Covid-19 numbers and none of those 4,000 had been tested for Covid-19… I don’t know if that’s true or not, but how can we blindly trust that it’s not true?
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html

With 803,018 total cases and 43,558 total deaths, the Covid-19 Mortality rate in the US is 5.42%. This is from the “worldometer” as of 4/21/2020, 17:03 GMT.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

With 4,439 total cases and 124 total deaths, the Covid-19 Mortality rate in South Carolina is 2.79%. This is from SC DHEC as of 4/20/2020, 16:00 EST.
https://scdhec.gov/infectious-diseases/viruses/coronavirus-disease-2019-covid-19/monitoring-testing-covid-19

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You also need to keep in mind that while the mortality for Covid-19 is creeping upward, only a fraction of people going to the Dr with symptoms are getting tested. The only people that are being tested are essentially the ones being admitted to the hospitals because of their illness. This means that only the critically ill are being added to the numbers. That makes a HUGE difference in the mortality rate since the ones being added to the overall number are the ones more likely to die from it.

You should also note that the mortality for seasonal influenza has also risen a lot since I started paying attention to the numbers and making these posts back on March 16th. Just so you don’t have to search for it, P&I Mortality for seasonal influenza has risen from 7.1% on 3/16/2020 to 11.9% on 4/11/2020; an increase of 4.8%. Mortality for Covid-19 in the U.S. has risen from 1.95% on 3/16/2020 to 5.23% on 4/20/2020; an increase of 3.28%.

I do also want to note that while there have been more deaths in the U.S. attributed to Covid-19 (39,083) this year than to seasonal influenza (29,507), that doesn’t mean it’s as bad as they’re making it sound. Yes, this is new to humanity so there are no innate immunities so more people are getting it which is leading to a higher death total, but we’re not all going to die. Keep practicing good hygiene and your odds are pretty good.